a blog by La Kifo
Paxton Lynch QB University of Memphis. 6'7 244 lbs.
At first I didn't know what to think of the kid. He has all the physical intangibles, height, weight, etc. But he played at Memphis. It was pretty hard to get a gauge on the kid and I watched a little bit extra tape since I never watched him play live.
The first thing I noticed about Lynch is his throwing motion. It has to be the worst of all the QBs in the draft this year. Don't get me wrong, it is not the molasses delivery of Tim Tebow, but it does take a tad bit too long for Lynch to crank and fire the ball. I couldn't find a vine or gif that focused solely on his throwing motion, and it is kind of hard to notice in this semi video gifs. It is pretty apparent watching through his games that his throwing motion is slow, you can almost see it in the gif below.
Since I started with a negative, I will just power through the bad.
A concern of mine, Lynch only played out of the pistol and shotgun in college. I literally don't think I saw him line up under center, maybe for a QB sneak. Only playing in a spread system can be detrimental to the players footwork. Also a lot of QBs who come out of similar spread offenses can't read the defense. Their college coaches would do it for them, call in audibles and checks at the line. Lynch did not look like he was in control of the plays, audibles, and checks. That is another big concern which leads into another downfall of Lynch's. That weakness is overconfidence. There are a lot of throws the kid makes into very tight windows. The two pictures above are very tight holes to throw the ball through. While he did not picked off a lot in college, 4 INT's his junior year, he almost threw a few more. Those numbers are very promising, but he will be a turnover machine in the NFL if he doesn't get coached up on protecting the football/when and where to put the ball. A thing I saw that I really did not like was Lynch gave away his rollouts by moving towards the side of the rollout right before the snap. That could just be apart of their offense, but I don't know what the benefit of alerting the entire defense which side of the field you are using.
Just to recap, weaknesses: Slow throwing motion, ran only spread in college, questionable footwork, questionable ability to read to the defense, questionable ability to make checks and audibles, throws into traffic often.
Not a hefty list of downfalls, but substantial.
Now that we are at the strengths segment of this, let us take small break.
While I was looking for vines, I came across Lynchs vine page.
Some pretty bad vines. Also dude only has 185 followers. That's embarrassing for a starting division 1 college quarterback.
Alright let's get back to it. Paxton Lynch has possibly top 2 arm talent of players in the draft. I would have to go back and compare, but I really like Lynch's arm. He has super velocity, watching him throw is like watching Aroldis Chapman throw a fastball. Lynch throws absolute darts, he can get the ball into small windows that NFL quarterbacks couldn't. Some of the throws I saw must have been near the most beautiful thing I have ever seen. 10 yards, 20 yards, 30 yards, Lynch delivers the ball from all distances with great accuracy and velocity. Especially sideline throws, he routinely nailed those. The final great aspect of Lynch's arm is his ability to deliver the ball on the run. He loses little accuracy while throwing on the run and he can still chuck it down field.
Other than his arm, Lynch has a couple more assets. One his large size, no need to explain it, being tall helps a QB. A second asset is the kids legs. He did not run a fast 40 time but he has football speed. Enough speed and agility to be very good at eluding the rush. I would not expect him to be doing designed QB runs in the NFL as much as he did in college.
The last thing I like about Lynch, for once is the least. His play action/run fakes are pretty good. I saw him a couple times really fool the defense with his fakes. That is something that translates immediately in the NFL.
Despite his short comings, I really like Paxton Lynch. He can be a Superbowl winning QB before he retires. He still does need at least a year to sit and develop. Lynch's draft stock has been rising ever since the college season ended. He should get drafted at 12 by New Orleans, 13 by Miami, 19 by Buffalo, or 20 by the New York Jets. A dark horse in between those picks is Detroit at 16.
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