Watching the tape: Jared Goff
a blog by La Kifo
Jared Goff is a hot name in the upcoming NFL draft. He is considered the 1b or #2 QB in the upcoming draft.
After what I have seen from watching him live and his game tape from the people over at draftbreakdown.com, I have nearly enough to accurately predict the trajectory of this kids career.
Watching games from his early career really highlights the athleticism he has. Goff shows good footwork in the pocket even as a young starter. His speed is mediocre, but he knows how to move in the pocket.
Goffs strengths are his mid to short range accuracy, footwork, elusiveness in the pocket. Areas that need a small amount of tuning are his deep ball consistency, sometimes he can throw an absolute dime 30-40 yards downfield. Other times he will overthrow a wide open receiver. Also his pre-snap blitz read/pick up. I don't know what blocking scheme they ran at Cal but I found plenty examples of defenders crowding the line to rush and getting a free lane to Goff without him noticing. Generally a strength he has is navigating pressure in the pocket. He showed later in his career that he could routinely do it. But from the looks of a shaky offensive line, it seemed like he was forced to.
Areas that need real work, his progression. 80-90% of his throws are made to his first read. The primary receiver. Rarely does he go through a full progression. When he does it is either because he has moved out of the pocket facing pressure or he has held on for too long. Rarely does he hold on to the ball too long, and a lot of the time when he does he is still fixated on the first read. Again this could totally be the offense Cal ran, but I doubt it. He has shown slight success when escaping the pocket and making reads down the field. But the majority of those plays were broken in which the receiver changed his route. Most often when he goes through his progression to make a throw, his accuracy dips a significant amount. The problem with that, is that it is indicative of a bigger problem. That problem is his what seems to be an inability to read defenses. His problem probably is not at the disaster level of Tim Tebow, but it is certainly not a strength for Goff. It is definitely something teams should consider.
Goff overall is a very talented QB. He could become a talented starter in the NFL. That is about as far as I would say he goes for now. He needs a considerable amount of work. If he can be a backup for at least one season, then we would really see his full potential. As it stands now he will be drafted in the top end of the NFL draft. A place like Dallas at #4 could be a possibility, while it would be a great place for Goff to sit and learn, it would literally do nothing to improve the Cowboys team in the short term. Then there is San Fran at #7 who needs a QB, unless the Kaepernick situation turns out in the Niners. Still there is a good chance he could be taken at that spot, which would put him in competition for the starting position on day 1. Obviously against what I have been saying about him so that wont be good for him. If he falls past those two spots then the next two teams in need of a QB would be LA, Detroit, and New York. LA looks like they need a QB but the truth is no QB has been good with Jeff Fisher since Steve Mcnair. Fisher even had a near copy of that player in Vince Young and he was awful. But LA would take him if he fell that far. Then Detroit, and that is a question mark because they should be just about done with Matt Stafford. He has been average his whole career after being taken 1st overall. Plus he just lost one of the reasons he had a couple good years in Calvin Johnson. They probably would not spend their pick on Goff if he was there, but they should think about it. Finally New York. If Goff fell to New York that would be a Cinderella fairy tale. Assuming they resign Fitzpatrick to a short term deal. Then they have the QB who everyone, Brandon Marshall, wants and the potential future guy who has a year or two to learn. Goffs best chance at becoming a top QB would be in New York. One or two years to learn then he has a year or two of talented veterans to help lead with him and a great young defense on the other side of the ball.
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