a blog by Brian
The picks are back, another week, another late blog release and more wads of money thrown down the garbage disposal. This weeks got UFC: Sydney, NFL, and NCAAFB.
Ignore the clear re-hash poster, I did not have time to make a new one.
Recently, I have recieved some emails. Emails from you, the boys. I do have to say, I appreciate everyone reaching out to us. There is nothing more we love than hearing from our boys.
What was made clear, to me, the boys want me a reply in regards to, "effective online marketing campaign to grow your business presence and generate online leads better than your competitors".
Trust me, boys. I am taking the time to reply, individually, to the many of you whom, have sent us emails on this topic. We are taking valuable time, out of my schedule, to address this matter. Why? Because of you. Because you, boys, are my muse, my love, my strength, my fleeting hairline. I could do all of this without you.
Due to the overwhelming amount of desire behind this, I will look to incorporate the subject into the blog schedule. I do not yet, know what it will be but, you asked for it, so you get it.
Tennessee Titans +7 -118
Pittsburgh Steelers -7 -102
Thursday November 16th, 2017. Kickoff at 8:25 PM EST.
The bet week starts today. Thursday Night Football, features a team that took forever to get back to success. The Titans are finally back, the team will need a few more years to become a legitimate Super Bowl contender but, there are layers to this shit. Right now the Titans are a puberty onion, they haven't gotten all their layers but, more are growing.
This team certainly has the stats to back them. Among the important categories in rush defense, they rank as one of the leagues best. With a record of 6-3, the Titans, in the upcoming weeks, look to take control of their division. The team faced Jacksonville, who holds one of the best rushing attacks the league has to offer. The Titans beat them, mostly due to their defense. A weakness this team may posses, their secondary. Their pass defense ranks them towards the bottom of the league, in terms of yards allowed per game.
Does it matter though? Not really.
While the Titans crack in the fortress is pass defense, they've only allowed nineteen completions over twenty yards, and two over forty. This lines up perfectly, as Ben Roethlisberger has regressed on down the field throws. His QBR, sits somewhere in the high forties, on throws over 15 yards (or something like that). Pair that with the stellar rush defense of the Titans, and we should have ourselves a close game.
On paper, not much can go wrong for the young quarterback lead Titans. These are just numbers but, Mariota has unimaginable career statistics in the red zone. The Oregon product has thirty five touchdowns, to no interceptions while operating inside the opponents twenty.
I'm taking the dogs at +7. At the very least, the Steelers won't be able to walk away with a comfortable win tonight. Expect this game to be close.
Illinois +40.5 -105
Ohio State -40.5 -115
Saturday November 18th, 2017. Kickoff at 3:30 PM EST.
Before you call me crazy, know that I am part fox.
Ohio State might be a legitimate team, they squashed Penn States dreams and sent them into bowl game oblivion. They've crushed inferior competition, to round out the majority of their wins. The Buckeyes, sit at 8-2.
The two losses came by way of Iowa, and Oklahoma, both road games. Oklahoma is in the mix to play for a National Championship, while Iowa sits outside the rankings. Iowa is still a good team but moreso, a good program. Considering the recent history of Iowa football, Ohio States loss is not a devastating blow to their resume but, the beating they took will, most likely, loom large over the remainder of the season.
Moving past the known, we find ourselves starring at Illinois, on the road, pinned with a +41.
Illinois is a shit team, let me make that clear. They suck. Their Record; 2-8. They are the worst team in the BIG10, they are winless in the conference yet, that is not the real issue. The real aspect to consider is not entirely the talent of this talentless team, no, it is: Can Ohio State really cover 41 points?
I am willing to bet on that question, and my answer is no.
There is no chance, none at all, the Buckeyes put up a 41 point differential. Ohio State has to face Michigan next, if they lose that game, they are certainly not going to be playing for national championship. So I doubt they push the starters hard this week and I also doubt they push their playbook hard. Now, you must understand what I am saying. Of course, Ohio State is going to win this game but, there is no fucking chance they win by 41.
If this scares you, as well as my negative trend, think of it a different way. You are not betting on Illinois to beat, or come close to beating, Ohio State. You are betting that Ohio State won't win by 41 points.
Tim Means -235
Belal Muhammad +200
Saturday November 18th, 2017. Main Card at 10 PM EST.
Belal Muhammad wants you to remember his name.
In an admittedly deep division, the rising welterweight only wants to pen his name onto a lengthy list of talented one hundred and seventy pound contenders. His opponent, a long time staple in the UFC, took this fight on short notice. Muhammads original opponent, TUF 25 winner Jesse Taylor, was pulled from the card after being notified of a potential doping violation from USADA.
Tim Means (9-5, UFC), knows how hard the UFC's welterweight division can be. A UFC veteran, whose first appearance in the octagon came at lightweight against Bernardo Magalhaes. He would go on to fight a young Jorge Masvidal, a fight which Means lost by unanimous decision. Means, for his next fight, replaced Bobby Green on short notice to face, Team Alpha Male coach, Danny Castillo at a catchweight of one hundred sixty pounds. Another fight which he lost by unanimous decision. He was subsequently released by the UFC.
Means resigned with the promotion, following two dominant wins in Legacy Fighting Championships. "The Dirty Bird" returned to the UFC as a welterweight and has been competing in the division since. He is 7-3 in the UFC at welterweight. His striking is the most evolved aspect of his game. He works kicks with his long 6'2 frame. Means has great boxing, and as I mentioned before, 6'2 at welterweight gives you a decent advantage against most in that division.
Muhammad is on the younger end of his UFC career (3-2, UFC). Despite the near .500 UFC record, there is a lot of hype behind the Chicago native. While his hype stems from MMA insiders and not the mainstream, he still has great boxing and wrestling for his division. His gas tank, seemingly, never comes close to empty. The one knock, (which is you understand more about MMA than I, know it is not really a kock) his lack of finishes. Eight of his twelve victories came by way of decision. Three of five, UFC bouts have ended the same way. Going to decision seems to matter to casual fans but, a decision doesn't mean the fight was boring. Watch Belal Muhammad v. Alan Jouban. Jouban might be a good gauge of this upcoming fight. Jouban presented similar problems to Muhammad. Taller guy, better jiu jitsu, heavy kicks. Jouban was able to establish range for his kicks, even while moving backward. Once Muhammad moved past that range, Jouban cracked him with punches. Jouban dropped Muhammad twice in the first round, and once in the second. Yet, each time, Muhammad was able to recover.
It is interesting, because my speculation believes Muhammad will have a better understanding of range against taller/longer fighters, Mainly, because of the Jouban fight. While I do believe in Tim Means scary stand up, I also think Jouban has more power than Means. I doubt the difference in boxing skill, if there is a big one, will allow Means to land multiple shots where Jouban was landing single blows to knock Muhammad down. The only danger is the kicks of Means.
I'm taking another underdog people. Belal Muhammad +200.
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Brian - Just a mild mannered kid/adult trying to figure out the way.
Big Red - If you don't chew Big Red then FUCK YOU