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NFL Free Agency 16' WR

2/19/2016

 
Wide Receivers:
Alshon Jeffery,
Very talented young wide receiver. He has the ideal frame, 6'3. Strong, catches away from his body. He has decent speed. Should a prime target in Free Agency. If he makes it to Free Agency. I do not know why Chicago would not resign him. Jeffrey is 26, right at the start of his prime. His average annual salary, calculated by Spotrac, is 12.8 million. They also gave a contract of 5 years. I think the Spotrac average annual salary is right. He will land somewhere between 10-14 million. I don't know about 5 years, I think 4 years but maybe his contract has a player or club option for a 5th and 6th year. Chargers, 49ers, Browns, Eagles, and Lions. All those teams have sufficient cap space. The Chargers could lose Malcolm Floyd to free agency. They have a good slot receiver in Keenan Allen, they really need an outside receiver and Jeffrey would fit well with Phillip Rivers. The Niners have a lot of cap space and need talent on the offensive side of the ball. Anquan Boldins' contract has expired and I don't expect the Niners to resign him, very old, 35, and unproductive last year. They need more than just a wide receiver to fix their team and they might want to still be in the rebuilding stage. The Browns. phew, what a brown mess. They need almost everything so who knows what they are gonna do but I wouldn't be surprised if they tried to sign him. It would be a mistake for both Jeffrey and Cleveland. Eagles do not have great receivers and adding Jeffrey in the offseason would make any quarterback going into Phili a lot more comfortable and productive. With Doug Penderson at the healm, I suspect a offense similar to the Kansas City Chiefs, so a big, fast, strong receiver would really make their offense complete. The Lions just lost Calvin Johnson to retirement. They do have Golden Tate, but he is a slot guy they need an outside receiver and Jeffrey is the best outside receiver on the free agent market by far.
Percy Harvin,


Team wrecker. Bad attitude. Has insane speed and agility. Obviously the catching ability is there. He is a bad route runner. Most teams won't take a stab at him, as he has been with a load of teams already. It really says something about a player when he has been traded 4 times. I do not even think the NFL averages more then 2 trades per year. 4 trades and 7 years in the league. Given all that a few teams that would take a chance on them just because would be Cleveland, and Jacksonville. Both teams have sufficient cap space. I except his contract to be 1 year and between 2-3.5 million. That might be a bit high, but Harvin is young at 27, if he was not such an asshole he would be signing a big long term contract or would have already signed one by now.
Jermaine Kearse,


A very overrated receiver. He played a lot on the outside in Seattle, but he is much more of a slot receiver. He is at 6'1 but plays like he 5'10, 5'11. By that I mean he does not have a great jumping ability. One of his strengths is that he can play the ball in the air but the downside is he does not have a great vertical so he can not get up to play the ball. He has never caught over 70 balls and has not eclipsed 700 yards in his 4 year career. He is calculated at 4.7 average annual salary. Paired with a 4 year contract. I think 4.7 is way to high for Kearse. 4.7 is a higher contract than Jordy Nelson and Kearse is not as good as Nelson not even close. My number for him is 2-3.5 million at 4-5 years with a club option. The Kansas City Chiefs, would be a very good fit for him. There he could work in the slot across Jeremy Maclin. If they could get him at a fairly low number they will go for him. He would be good for the red zone where the Chiefs have had trouble since Alex Smith arrived. The Texans could be a great fit, putting Kearse alongside DeAndre Hopkins. Kearse is a good locker room guy, he is the kinda player that Bill O'Brien is looking for. The only issue would be coming from the Texans side they do not have a QB so it might not be a interesting destination for Kearse. Carolina should be interested in him. The main problem with Carolina is the lack of depth at wide receiver. Kearse would a great fit, slot guy who has good hands. That is something that they do not have. Carolina would be the best fit for Kearse. Both sides would really benefit from his presence. The Falcons could also use a good slot guy, they have a lot of cap space and a long list of outside receivers, they also have a lot of wholes in the offensive line and secondary. I doubt they will sign Kearse.
Mohammad Sanu,
A very athletic player. Pretty good speed bad hands. In his 2014 campaign, his best season, he had 56 catches for 790, 5 TDs. He was targeted 98 times, and had 9 drops. Putting his drop percentage at 9.1% which is highest amoung players with over 40 catches. Even if you lower the bar, he is 3rd amoung players with over 30 catches. That is not good, he is not a reliable threat. Number 4 wide receiver, would be the best fit for him. Now that doesn't mean some team will pay him as a #3 or even #2. Cleveland, looking at you. He will never play up to a contract giving him over 4 million a year. I predict he will go in between 1.5-3.5. Also probably a 3 year deal. Teams that might overpay him would be anyone who misses out on Alshon Jeffrey. Also Jacksonville would overpay for him. Baltimore if they could get him on the cheap would be another potential destination for him. Minnesota would be another place, they need depth at WR and have plenty of cap space to sign Sanu. For Sanu, I do not think he is gonna go for cheap and even if he does, he will not be on a team with 3 receivers in front of him.


Reuben Randle,
A good young number 3, number 4 receiver. He will be paid to be a number 3 receiver. Fast, good hands, but not a great all around receiver. He has the athletic ability but not the mental intangibles. He is a poor route runner. Conceptually I do not think he is well versed. Overall I think he could be a good value pick up for a number of different teams. I predict his cap number would be 1.8-2.8 million average annual salary. If he goes for close to three, he is still a good value, but landing him closer to 2 would make him the best value receiver on the market. I want to say the Patriots should get him at a low number if he is available but scheme wise he is an absolute no. I do not expect them to go after him. Seattle, Titans, Niners, Jacksonville, Carolina, Baltimore, Redskins should all go after him. Baltimore and Washington should go after him hard, seeing as to the value he has on the market he would be a good fit for both teams who need an outside receiver but have little cap space. Baltimore has less space than Washington, and Joe Flacco is an excellent deep ball thrower so that would be my guess for where he goes. The best fit for him would be in Carolina, he would go in and probably be number 2 or 3. Carolina has all the pieces for a good offense except receiver depth which was a major problem. He would be able to produce while being on a good team.

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